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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 616905

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$29,590
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$726 / $4,640
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score52.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.20
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth