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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 618454

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

19.7% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 20.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 19.3%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.

Implied probability19.3%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 20.4¢ / 19.7¢
Spread1.4¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h+2.45pt
Change 7d+0.70pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$743
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$183 / $716
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.12
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.59pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth