← Explore · Polymarket · Market 628941

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

95.7% implied · bid 95.6¢ · ask 95.7¢

The market prices this at 95.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability95.6%

Bid / ask / mid95.6¢ / 95.7¢ / 95.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.40pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,067

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,206 / $3,314,433

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.01

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.05pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 59d 7h.

Time to resolve59d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%