← Explore · Polymarket · Market 637004
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,629
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$828 / $650
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.09
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 35d 6h.
Time to resolve35d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%