← Explore · Polymarket · Market 637009

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.8¢

The market prices this at 3.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability3.9%

Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.5¢

Spread0.7¢ (20.3%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$87

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$257 / $44

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.7 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.60

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 35d 7h.

Time to resolve35d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%