← Explore · Polymarket · Market 637011

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

3.8% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 3.9¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.8¢

Spread0.2¢ (5.3%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-0.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,241

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$608 / $555

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.98

RSI (14, hourly)28.6

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 35d 7h.

Time to resolve35d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%