← Explore · Polymarket · Market 653788
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
25.0% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 26.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,469
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$838 / $3,003
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score41.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.41
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.50pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 116d 5h.
Time to resolve116d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%