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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 7.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+1.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$61,619

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$90,385 / $37,442

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.55

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d0.15pt

Change 1h+1.00pt

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%