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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 665258

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2.1% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 2.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 2.1¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,305
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$874 / $590
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth