← Explore · Polymarket · Market 666593
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, down 15.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-15.00pt
Change 7d-12.00pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17,982
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$540 / $113
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.45
RSI (14, hourly)21.4
Realized vol 7d1.39pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 74d 3h.
Time to resolve74d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (45)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.