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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 666596

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

75.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 72.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 75.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 84% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$29
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$379 / $310
Imbalance84% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 71 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)70.6
Realized vol 7d1.20pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth