← Explore · Polymarket · Market 666608
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 85.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 72% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,383
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,604 / $6,046
Imbalance72% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.53
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 72d 22h.
Time to resolve72d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (45)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.