← Explore · Polymarket · Market 666611
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
27.0% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$240
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$379 / $308
Imbalance62% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%