← Explore · Polymarket · Market 667086
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.2%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability96.2%
Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 95.9¢ / 95.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d-0.55pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 96/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$187
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,433 / $274,809
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.02
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 73d 3h.
Time to resolve73d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (45)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.