← Explore · Polymarket · Market 676739
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
79.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 80.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,050
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,249 / $29,334
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.23
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 7h.
Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%