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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (15.4%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,929

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,189 / $289

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.59

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.14pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%