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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

13.3% implied · bid 13.1¢ · ask 13.4¢

The market prices this at 13.4%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability13.4%

Bid / ask / mid13.1¢ / 13.4¢ / 13.3¢

Spread0.3¢ (2.3%)

Change 24h-2.00pt

Change 7d+1.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,545

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,215 / $2,985

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.1 / 100

RSI 18 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.14

RSI (14, hourly)17.7

Realized vol 7d0.38pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%