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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 676742

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,851
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,083 / $1,789
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.29
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth