← Explore · Polymarket · Market 676742
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,851
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,083 / $1,789
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.29
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 7h.
Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%