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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 677147

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.7%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability3.7%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.7¢ (20.3%)
Change 24h-4.05pt
Change 7d-2.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25,161
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$460 / $585
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.75
RSI (14, hourly)10.7
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth