← Explore · Polymarket · Market 679018

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

35.3% implied · bid 35.2¢ · ask 35.3¢

The market prices this at 35.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability35.3%

Bid / ask / mid35.2¢ / 35.3¢ / 35.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+1.60pt

Deep and tight (score 79/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16,525

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51,211 / $8,359

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score79.3 / 100

RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.67

RSI (14, hourly)70.0

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 237d 7h.

Time to resolve237d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%