← Explore · Polymarket · Market 679021
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$24,141
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,344 / $11,178
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.36
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 237d 7h.
Time to resolve237d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%