← Explore · Polymarket · Market 679022

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

3.2% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.3¢

The market prices this at 3.3%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.3%

Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.3¢ / 3.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (6.3%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d+0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,695

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,713 / $3,529

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.6 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.90

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 236d 5h.

Time to resolve236d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%