← Explore · Polymarket · Market 681144
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,832
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,769 / $349
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.84
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%