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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 682705

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 31.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,870
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,807 / $21,054
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score57.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.68
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d0.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth