← Explore · Polymarket · Market 682708
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
49.0% implied · bid 48.7¢ · ask 49.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.8%, up 1.7pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability48.8%
Bid / ask / mid48.7¢ / 49.4¢ / 49.0¢
Spread0.7¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+1.70pt
Change 7d-2.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,539
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,070 / $5,370
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.12
RSI (14, hourly)46.8
Realized vol 7d0.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 7h.
Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%