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Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

5.5% implied · bid 5.4¢ · ask 5.5¢

The market prices this at 5.4%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.4%

Bid / ask / mid5.4¢ / 5.5¢ / 5.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.8%)

Change 24h-1.40pt

Change 7d+1.35pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$18,296

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,554 / $3,108

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score51.8 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.69

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%