← Explore · Polymarket · Market 690200

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

5.7% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 6.6¢

The market prices this at 4.4%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.

Implied probability4.4%

Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 6.6¢ / 5.7¢

Spread1.8¢ (31.6%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d-3.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$729

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $121

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score41.1 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.36

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d0.53pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%