← Explore · Polymarket · Market 690202

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

26.8% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 29.5¢

The market prices this at 27.3%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 5.5¢ spread.

Implied probability27.3%

Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 29.5¢ / 26.8¢

Spread5.5¢ (20.6%)

Change 24h+0.55pt

Change 7d+4.30pt

Thin (score 23/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$280

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$89 / $109

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score22.6 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.00

RSI (14, hourly)58.0

Realized vol 7d0.71pt

Change 1h+0.55pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%