← Explore · Polymarket · Market 690214

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

4.7% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 5.1¢

The market prices this at 4.1%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability4.1%

Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 5.1¢ / 4.7¢

Spread0.9¢ (19.4%)

Change 24h+0.85pt

Change 7d-1.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,182

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$334 / $651

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.0 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.35

RSI (14, hourly)47.4

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.35pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%