← Explore · Polymarket · Market 690221

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

8.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 8.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (35.3%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-1.50pt

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $2

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.74

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%