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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 690693

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,012
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$409 / $751
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.69
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

No fixed resolution date.

Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth