← Explore · Polymarket · Market 703257

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

3.8% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 3.8¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Deep and tight (score 91/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$26,557

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$59,451 / $23,296

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score90.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%