← Explore · Polymarket · Market 704169

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

81.5% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 82.0¢

The market prices this at 82.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability82.0%

Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 81.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h-4.50pt

Change 7d+20.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,403

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,394 / $18,254

Imbalance40% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score61.8 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.73

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3d 7h.

Time to resolve3d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%