← Explore · Polymarket · Market 704171
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
2.4% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.8¢
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The market prices this at 1.8%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.8¢ / 2.4¢
Spread0.9¢ (38.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,421
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$107 / $563
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.68
RSI (14, hourly)40.8
Realized vol 7d0.66pt
Change 1h+1.45pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 7h.
Time to resolve3d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%