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Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?

4.0% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 4.1¢

The market prices this at 4.7%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability4.7%

Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 4.1¢ / 4.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.5%)

Change 24h+0.75pt

Change 7d-2.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,123

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$797 / $1,589

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.7 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.44

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.25pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3d 7h.

Time to resolve3d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%