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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 706184

Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?

96.0% implied · bid 95.9¢ · ask 96.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.6%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability95.6%
Bid / ask / mid95.9¢ / 96.2¢ / 96.0¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d+2.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 87/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,856
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,886 / $62,555
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score86.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)48.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 7h.

Time to resolve3d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth