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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 716826

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$450 / $358
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 14368817917261.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-14368817917261.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth