← Explore · Polymarket · Market 789952
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
41.0% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 42.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 41.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability41.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 41.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+13.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,591
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$729 / $2,093
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.56
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15d 7h.
Time to resolve15d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%