← Explore · Polymarket · Market 789954

Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

5.1% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 5.5¢

The market prices this at 5.7%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability5.7%

Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 5.5¢ / 5.1¢

Spread0.7¢ (13.6%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+1.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$830

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,543 / $739

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.6 / 100

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.23

RSI (14, hourly)51.6

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h-0.40pt

Resolves in 15d 7h.

Time to resolve15d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%