← Explore · Polymarket · Market 789957

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

42.5% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

The market prices this at 45.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%

Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 42.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)

Change 24h-5.50pt

Change 7d-17.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,798

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$418 / $3,536

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.46

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.31pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 15d 7h.

Time to resolve15d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%