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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 898409

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

9.6% implied · bid 9.3¢ · ask 9.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.4%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability9.4%
Bid / ask / mid9.3¢ / 9.8¢ / 9.6¢
Spread0.5¢ (5.2%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,545
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,920 / $4,056
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.89
RSI (14, hourly)46.2
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 92d 7h.

Time to resolve92d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth