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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 898411

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

10.1% implied · bid 9.5¢ · ask 10.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 3.3pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.5¢ / 10.6¢ / 10.1¢
Spread1.1¢ (10.9%)
Change 24h+3.30pt
Change 7d+3.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,919
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$970 / $1,597
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.51
RSI (14, hourly)93.4
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+3.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 92d 7h.

Time to resolve92d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth