← Explore · Polymarket · Market 898412
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.9%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability97.9%
Bid / ask / mid97.6¢ / 97.9¢ / 97.8¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d-0.20pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,496
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,995 / $729,223
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score98.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.12
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 46d 22h.
Time to resolve46d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.