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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 898416

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

5.0% implied · bid 4.5¢ · ask 5.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.4%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability3.4%
Bid / ask / mid4.5¢ / 5.4¢ / 5.0¢
Spread0.9¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-1.15pt
Change 7d-1.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,206
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$993 / $1,603
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 11.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-11.45
RSI (14, hourly)14.3
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h-1.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 92d 7h.

Time to resolve92d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth