← Explore · Polymarket · Market 898654

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

96.4% implied · bid 96.2¢ · ask 96.6¢

The market prices this at 96.1%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability96.1%

Bid / ask / mid96.2¢ / 96.6¢ / 96.4¢

Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h-0.65pt

Change 7d+3.40pt

Deep and tight (score 98/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,090

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,936 / $203,627

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score98.0 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.56

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d0.25pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 29d 7h.

Time to resolve29d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%