← Explore · Polymarket · Market 904737
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
44.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (15.7%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,869
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,244 / $192
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score15.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.46
RSI (14, hourly)36.4
Realized vol 7d0.61pt
Change 1h-5.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%