← Explore · Polymarket · Market 908713
Fed rate hike in 2026?
71.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$245,192
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,391 / $112,345
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)12
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.19
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d0.99pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 95d 7h.
Time to resolve95d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%