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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 920401

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

95.6% implied · bid 95.4¢ · ask 95.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.2%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability95.2%
Bid / ask / mid95.4¢ / 95.8¢ / 95.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.95pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 98/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,242
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,085 / $154,363
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score98.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.81
RSI (14, hourly)42.1
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h-0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 116d 10h.

Time to resolve116d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth