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Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?

12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, down 71.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)

Change 24h-71.50pt

Change 7d-71.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,688

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $29

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.0 / 100

RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.77

RSI (14, hourly)36.7

Realized vol 7d4.17pt

Change 1h+1.50pt

Resolves in 60d 7h.

Time to resolve60d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%