← Explore · Polymarket · Market 942832
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?
89.0% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 90.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 89.0%, up 72.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability89.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+72.50pt
Change 7d+73.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$3,162
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$63 / $1,317
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 77 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.85
RSI (14, hourly)77.3
Realized vol 7d4.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 60d 7h.
Time to resolve60d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%